Green Climate Fund (GCF) Evaluation Framework

Provision of consultancy services for supporting evaluations and
reviews to be conducted by the IEU of the GCF in 2019 as well as in 2020 through establishment of non-exclusive Long Term Agreements (LTAs) on the basis of “if and when required” with no legal obligation to order any minimum or maximum quantity

Field-level Baseline and Progress Research on IDH Landscape Program in the South West Mau Forest


ISLA Kenya Programme is aimed at restoring and conserving the South West Mau forest block through addressing the drivers of deforestation and improving forest protection and governance, ultimately leading to holistic landscape management through various interventions. Interventions include; alternative income-generation for community livelihoods; improved water governance; sustainable energy for households, institutions and industry; replanting and restoration activities; and improved forest protection and surveillance. In this project, IDH has contracted LTS to:

  • Determine a forest reference level, based on historic (2000 to 2014) trends, to assess the impacts of ISLA interventions;
  • Assess the role of ISLA interventions and other factors in determining recent (2015 to 2018) deforestation and forest degradation trends;
  • Assess expected future (2018 to 2023 and 2050) impacts of ISLA interventions on deforestation and forest degradation; and
  • Provide methodological guidance for future measurement of ISLA impacts.


South West Mau Forest is one of the blocks of the Mau Forest Complex in western Kenya that covers an area of over 400,000 ha and is ecologically and economically critical for Kenya and parts of East Africa. In recent decades, part of the forest has either been cut down or degraded, putting tea production, other sectors and community livelihoods at risk. This is caused by growing populations, unsustainable livestock grazing, charcoal burning and timber extraction from the forest.


Addressing the above issues has been challenging due to limited coordination between stakeholders. In response, IDH built a strong coalition of the Nakuru, Kericho and Bomet national government agencies, tea, energy, telecommunications and timber companies; and civil society made up of NGOs and community groups, implementing partners and knowledge institutions to work together across the landscape. IDH implements an integrated programme that covers the following components; forest conservation; improvement of water flow and access; sustainable energy; and alternative livelihoods for communities

Value and Benefits:

More than 10 million people depend on rivers originating from Mau Forest Complex. The forest also influences the region’s microclimate such as rainfall patterns, creating ideal conditions to produce crops such as tea. Furthermore, the area is one of Kenya’s main water towers and a significant percentage of its hydroelectric power is generated from South West Mau. Conservation efforts to this forest will therefore enable the forest not only to continue supporting local livelihoods, but also contribute to Kenya’s national development and the global community.

LTS produces Nation Map of Forest Biomass Change Since 2007

We received great feedback from the Zambian Forestry Department on our Forest Biomass Map! LTS is extremely proud to be playing an important role in addressing the many challenges faced in forest degradation monitoring and assessment.

“The poster is excellent and a true copy of the national circumstances in terms of deforestation and forest degradation… I am exceedingly delighted with the biomass distribution over the whole country because it is very good and reflective of what is found across the country. This is far too excellent than what we used in the FREL report for 2015. I will write an official statement to explain this achievement under the collaboration with LTS and the University of Edinburgh through World Bank.”

Nation Map of Forest Biomass Change Since 2007 in Zambia

Read more on our work in Satellite Monitoring for Forest Management here.

Livestock Portfolio Monitoring and Evaluation

SEBI have approached LTS to support their engagement with the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF) on the monitoring and evaluation (M&E) of their livestock portfolio.

SEBI have outlined two objectives for their support to BMGF:

  1. To develop a reporting system for monitoring and evaluating BMGF livestock initiatives in ‘near real-time’ at an individual and portfolio level – using Tableau software.
  2. To present a plan for the management and rollout of this system (and associated M&E approach).

LTS is providing a bespoke and flexible consultancy solution to support SEBI with these requirements. This combines a mix of project management and technical expertise in M&E for complex programmes.

Framework Agreement governing the purchase of consultancy services for climate, forestry and low-carbon development

The overall thematic focus of the framework agreement is related to green economy, low carbon development and international climate change policy, especially REDD+ (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation). The framework agreement will mainly, but not exclusively, be used for consultancy services related to the Norwegian International Climate and Forest Initiative (NICFI). The consultancy services fall within four different types of assignments/call-offs: i) Project proposal appraisals ahead of funding decisions; ii) Mid-term and end-reviews; iii) Technical assessments. This includes follow-up on recommendations from reviews/appraisals; and iv) Technical assistance to partner institutions, including capacity building and training. Assignments completed so far or in progress after the first seven months of framework implementation include a Review of the GGGI Programme in Indonesia 2012-2017; an Appraisal of the project document “Reducing the impact of large-scale agricultural investments in the Mekong region on communities, forest and climate change”; a Review of programme collaboration between NEPAD and Norad; an End Review of “Organizational Capacity Building, Conservation Agriculture, Gender and Land Rights MOZ-12/0047” and Appraisal of the Project Proposal “Support to a Sustainable and Equitable Improvement of Small Scale Farmer’s Livelihoods in Mozambique” MOZ-18/0001; a Mid Term Evaluation (MTR) of the Result Based Payment to the CRGE Facility – PA for REDD+ [Ethiopia]; the Third Independent Review of the Indonesia-Norway Cooperation on REDD+; an Appraisal of three project documents for the “Law Enforcement Assistance Programme to reduce tropical deforestation (LEAP) – An INTERPOL-UNODC-RHIPTO programme”; an Appraisal of the project document “Targeted Support to the Climate and Land Use Alliance 2018-22 Strategy: Primary Focus on Brazil & Indonesia”; and an Appraisal of a project document from One Acre Fund; and Strategic Support to Food Security and the Agricultural Sector in Malawi (informing future policy and funding in this area).

Meta-evaluation of the Renewable Energy Portfolio

Over a four-and-a-half-year period, LTS will be conducting a meta-evaluation of the Children’s Investment Fund Foundation’s (CIFF’s) Renewable Energy Portfolio. The portfolio is currently comprised of eight investments representing five geographies which are focused on influencing and shaping climate and energy policy in middle-income countries, either through direct technical assistance to government entities or by strengthening civil society ecosystems. LTS is using a flexible and adaptive cycle for the evaluation to ensure the approach remains responsive to complex and evolving contexts and is capable of growing in line with the portfolio. The methodology is theory-based, drawing on a range of evaluation approaches to answer key questions to inform high-level strategy decisions. LTS is utilising investment focal points based in the target geographies to ensure regular engagement with grantee organisations and programme staff within CIFF. The evaluation will deliver a range of products including investment level deep dives, light touch case studies, thematic portfolio-level evaluative synthesis reports and a suite of communications and learning materials.

Member: International Statistical Institute


Our congratulations to LTS Principal Consultant Matthew Shearing who in January became an elected member of the International Statistical Institute (ISI). Matthew was elected by his senior peers from the world of official statistics, including former Directors General of National Statistical Offices, to support the work of the ISI’s Statistical Capacity Building Committee. In this voluntary role, he aims to help the Committee’s work have a higher impact by promoting global knowledge transfer between Statisticians, Data Scientists, and other relevant professions, and by promoting partnerships across the public and private sectors to help solve global development challenges.

The ISI’s annual blue ribbon event the World Statistics Congress is taking place this year in Kuala Lumpur in August .This will bring together about 2,500 delegates, comprising statistical researchers, academia, industry practitioners, analysts and policymakers from all over the world to share insights on development in statistical science and to advance application of statistics for discovery, innovation, and decision making. 

ISI WSC 2019 – ISI World Statistics Congress 2019

1 Dec 2018. The list of Approved Special Topic Sessions for ISI WSC 2019 is now available. The Local Programme Committee (LPC) for the 62nd ISI World Statistics Congress 2019, chaired by Datin Rozita Talha, has completed the selection of proposals submitted for Special Topic Sessions (STS).

Monitoring and Evaluation Support for a National Project for Kenya: ‘Enhancing access to weather and climate information for Kenya’s coastal region’

The Weather and Climate Information SERvices for Africa (WISER) programme, funded by the Department for International Development (DFID) is providing up to £35 million over four years (ending March 2020) to enhance the resilience of African people and economic development to weather and climate related shocks. The programme aims to improve the generation and use of the weather and climate information across Sub-Saharan Africa, with an initial focus on the East Africa region. The WISER programme has two main parts:

(1) a pan-African programme focussing on improvement of the governance and enabling environment for weather and climate services. This is predominantly being achieved through support to the Africa Climate Policy Centre (ACPC).
(2) a regional programme primarily focussing on the East Africa region (Burundi, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda) (WISER-EA) aimed at improving the quality and relevance of weather and climate information and supporting its uptake and use.

The Met Office has been commissioned by DFID to act as Fund Manager for the WISER–EA programme and as such will provide technical coordination and allocate and manage funds for WISER-EA projects.

Funding has been allocated under the WISER programme, to support a national project for Kenya ‘Coastal resilience and improved services for potato production (Kenya) ‘. The project is split into two sub-projects, ‘Increasing the Resilience of Kenya’s Potato Sector and ‘Enhancing access to weather and climate information for Kenya’s coastal region’. The project seeks to deliver accessible and decision-relevant weather and climate information for 300,000 households in Kenya’s coastal region with a focus on 4 counties; Mombasa, Kwale, Kilifi and Taita Taveta. It’s scope covers three main areas;
(1) the development and delivery of demand led and decentralised KMD services in coastal Kenya;
(2) development of proposals for the streamlining of KMD’s forecasting to improve existing and facilitate delivery of new products and services in response to demand from users in the coastal counties, and;
(3) investment in improved marine forecasting techniques to provide better downscaled information, early warnings and associated advisories.

LTS is supporting the project ‘Enhancing access to weather and climate information for Kenya’s coastal region’ in conducting a series of monitoring and evaluation activities to track changes in the reach and impact of weather and climate information services enhanced or developed by the project. LTS is working closely with KMD, the Met Office and end users to facilitate participatory monitoring and evaluation approaches that highlight and document good practice on access, understanding, use and benefits of climate information services.
LTS’ deliverables are linked to the logframe outputs for the project and include:
(i.) Production of a Monitoring and Evaluation Framework for the Project including baseline and endline assessments; and
(ii.) Assessing the socio-economic benefits of the project’s activities.